Discovering Figure AI Stock Performance Insights

Discovering Figure AI Stock Performance Insights

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

• Figure AI is a leading developer of autonomous humanoid robots.
• The company’s valuation is projected to rise significantly, estimating $38.5–$39.5 billion by 2025.
• Innovative revenue models like “Robot-as-a-Service” (RaaS) are redefining the market.
• Competing with industry giants like Boston Dynamics and Tesla poses challenges.
• The potential for a public offering could arise depending on market conditions.

Table of Contents

• Overview of Figure AI
• Financial and Valuation Trends
• Market Opportunity and Industry Context
• Investment Considerations and Risks
• Stock Performance and Trading Insights
• Summary Table: Key Figure AI Metrics (2025)
• Conclusion
• FAQ

Overview of Figure AI

Figure AI has gained a reputation as a leading developer of humanoid robots, specifically targeting sectors ripe for automation. Among its flagship products are Figure 01 and the advanced Helix model, which signal its commitment to leveraging artificial intelligence in robotic systems. Recent reports detail how the company has attracted significant investment from major players in technology, including Microsoft, OpenAI, Nvidia, Amazon, and notable figures like Jeff Bezos.

Initially, Figure AI partnered with OpenAI; however, the company has strategically pivoted to develop its proprietary neural networks. This move grants Figure AI greater control over its technological innovations and intellectual property, positioning it to respond more adeptly to market demands and developing trends in robotics and AI integration.

Financial and Valuation Trends

Figure AI has witnessed an astonishing rise in its valuation over a short period. The company’s valuation surged from approximately $2.6 billion in 2024 to a projected $38.5–$39.5 billion by 2025 as it seeks to negotiate a significant equity financing round ranging from $1 to $2.5 billion. This remarkable 15-fold increase correlates with growing investor confidence in the company and the promising future of humanoid robotics.

Although Figure AI remains a private entity, its shares have become available on secondary markets such as Forge Global and Hiive. Recent transactions indicate a price of approximately $174 per share on Forge as of October 2025. On Hiive, accredited investors can negotiate directly with sellers—in many cases, current or former employees, venture capitalists, or angel investors.

The company’s evolving revenue model is also noteworthy, shifting from traditional hardware sales to include innovative segments such as “Robot-as-a-Service” (RaaS), software licensing, and bespoke customization tailored to specific industrial clients. Significant commercial deployments to well-known entities like BMW at their South Carolina facility and a recent contract with UPS substantially bolster Figure AI’s revenue visibility moving forward.

Market Opportunity and Industry Context

The market opportunity for humanoid robotics is striking. Analysts project that the global market for humanoid robots will experience phenomenal growth, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 96% from 2022 to 2030. By 2030, it is expected to reach a staggering $6.8 billion, with shipments climbing from just 1,000 units in 2025 to a remarkable 182,000 by 2030. Additionally, Goldman Sachs has indicated that the broader robotics market could reach $38 billion by 2035.

However, Figure AI competes against established titans like Boston Dynamics and Tesla’s Optimus, alongside potential new entrants like OpenAI, which is also in the race to develop its humanoid robotics stack. The company’s ability to navigate the competitive landscape and attain commercial scale while maintaining technological leadership will be integral to securing its market position.

Strategic partnerships play a crucial role in Figure AI’s operations. Collaborations with industry giants such as BMW, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Amazon not only lend credibility to Figure AI’s offerings but also provide pathways for deployment in diverse applications. Nevertheless, the dependence on these partnerships introduces risks; any disruption could negatively impact business operations.

Investment Considerations and Risks

Figure AI’s success is intrinsically linked to the market acceptance of AI-powered robotics across various sectors, including manufacturing and logistics. While early commercial deployments are promising, widespread adoption remains at an early stage.

Execution risks also warrant consideration. Transitioning to a proprietary AI framework, scaling production to meet demand (targeting 100,000+ units annually), and adhering to safety and certification requirements present significant challenges.

For accredited investors, secondary markets offer opportunities for liquidity prior to any potential IPO. However, these markets are often characterized by a lack of transparency and fluctuating bid-ask spreads, making them somewhat risky.

Stock Performance and Trading Insights

Currently, Figure AI does not have a public stock ticker as it is privately held, with trading activities occurring on private secondary platforms. The dynamics within these secondary markets are influenced by supply and demand, alongside broader market sentiments regarding tech and robotics. Platforms like Hiive and Forge Global offer real-time data on asking prices and recent trades, albeit limited to accredited investors.

While there is no definitive timeline for an IPO, the impressive growth in Figure AI’s valuation and operational expansion suggests that a public offering could become a possibility in the next few years, provided market conditions remain favorable.

With limited public financial data available, performance indicators are primarily assessed through valuation growth, strategic partnerships, commercial deployments, and activity in secondary markets, with the recent 15x rise in valuation serving as a notable marker of market enthusiasm.

Summary Table: Key Figure AI Metrics (2025)

Conclusion

Figure AI’s stock performance as reflected through private secondary market activities and valuation trends demonstrates the robust investor enthusiasm for humanoid robotics and embodied AI. The strategic transition to proprietary AI, alongside noteworthy partnerships and early commercial victories, positions Figure AI as a potential leader within a high-growth, high-stakes sector. Nevertheless, challenges remain concerning execution, competition, and the liquidity of any imminent IPO. For investors, Figure AI presents both significant upside potential and substantial exposure to the volatile, capital-intensive realm of advanced robotics.

FAQ

What is Figure AI?
Figure AI is a privately held company dedicated to developing autonomous humanoid robots for various sectors.

How much is Figure AI valued at?
As of 2025, Figure AI’s projected valuation ranges from $38.5 to $39.5 billion.

Where can I buy Figure AI stock?
Currently, Figure AI’s shares are available on secondary markets like Forge Global and Hiive.

What are the major risks associated with investing in Figure AI?
Some risks include competition from established companies, execution challenges, and the liquidity of funds in secondary markets.

When might Figure AI go public?
While there is no set timeline, growth in valuation could potentially lead to a public offering within the next few years.

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